Advanced Stats: BBVA Compass Rising Stars Challenge
|Player||NBA Team||Class||Draft Pick||Year|
|Damian Lillard||Portland||Soph.||No. 6||2012|
|Bradley Beal||Washington||Soph.||No. 3||2012|
|Andre Drummond||Detroit||Soph.||No. 9||2012|
|Harrison Barnes||Golden State||Soph.||No. 7||2012|
|Terrence Jones||Houston||Soph.||No. 18||2012|
|Giannis Antetokounmpo||Milwaukee||Rookie||No. 15||2013|
|Jonas Valanciunas||Toronto||Soph.||No. 5||2011|
|Dion Waiters||Cleveland||Soph.||No. 4||2012|
|Miles Plumlee**||Phoenix||Soph.||No. 26||2012|
|Player||NBA Team||Class||Draft Pick||Year|
|Anthony Davis||New Orleans||Soph.||No. 1||2012|
|Michael Carter-Williams||Philadelphia||Rookie||No. 11||2013|
|Tim Hardaway Jr.||New York||Rookie||No. 24||2013|
|Trey Burke||Utah||Rookie||No. 9||2013|
|Jared Sullinger||Boston||Soph.||No. 21||2012|
|Mason Plumlee||Brooklyn||Rookie||No. 22||2013|
|Victor Oladipo||Orlando||Rookie||No. 2||2013|
|Steven Adams||OKC||Rookie||No. 12||2013|
|Kelly Olynyk||Boston||Rookie||No. 13||2013|
By Brian Martin
All-Star Weekend competition tips off with the BBVA Compass Rising Stars Challenge, which brings the league's top rookies and sophomores together to give fans a glimpse of the best up-and-coming talent.
After a dozen years of the rookies vs sophomores format, the BBVA Compass Rising Stars Challenge went to a draft in 2012 with TNT analysts serving as GMs that selected from the combined pool of first and second year players.
However, a quick glance at this year's rosters of Team Webber and Team Hill and it looks like we're back to the rookies against the sophomores. Team Hill features just one rookie -- Milwaukee's Giannis Antetokounmpo -- after rookie Pero Antic was replaced by sophomore Miles Plumlee due to injury.
Webber has the young squad with only two sophomores -- New Orleans' Anthony Davis and Boston's Jared Sullinger -- joining seven rookies. While Webber's team is lead by its guards -- three of his top four picks -- Team Hill features half of this year's Sprite Slam Dunk field, headlined by reigning dunk champ Terrence Ross.
One more item of note from the rookie class, only two of the eight rookies in this game were selected in the top 10 of last year's draft -- Oladipo at No. 2 and Burke at No. 9. That is in stark contrast to the sophomore class that features seven top 10 picks, headlined by Davis -- the No. 1 pick in the 2012 draft -- and Damian Lillard -- the reigning Rookie of the Year. Both were top six picks and both are also playing in Sunday's All-Star Game.
While Team Webber features a No. 1 (Davis) and No. 2 (Oladipo), the average draft position of his nine-player squad is 12.8. Team Hill's highest drafted player is No. 3 (Beal), but the average draft position on his team is 10.3, including six top 10 picks, twice as many as Team Webber.
Let's take a closer look at each roster as we prepare for All-Star weekend's opening event.
The reigning Rookie of the Year is going to be a busy man on All-Star Weekend as he becomes the first player to ever compete in five events, beginning with the BBVA Compass Rising Stars Challenge on Friday, the Taco Bell Skills Challenge, Foot Locker 3-Point Contest and Sprite Slam Dunk on Saturday and the All-Star Game on Sunday.
The multi-talented Lillard is among the league leaders in scoring (20.7 points per game, 14th in the league) and assists (5.7 per game, 17th in the league). Lillard is 20th in the league in 3-point percentage (40.4%) and third at the free throw line at 88.4%.
Team Hill coach Nate McMillan may choose to limit Lillard's minutes since he has such a busy weekend ahead of him, but if the game is tight in the closing minutes, Lillard is the player you want on the floor. He is tied for fifth in the league with 90 clutch points -- last five minutes of the game, ahead or behind by five points or less. When the game is truly on the line -- last 30 seconds, ahead or behind by three points or less -- Lillard has been outstanding. He's shot 6-of-9 from the field, 3-of-5 from 3-point range and a perfect 10-of-10 from the line in those situations.
Lillard ranks fourth in both total touches (4,583) and total distance traveled (134.6 miles) headed into the All-Star break.
Leads all sophomores in points per game (20.7), 3-pointers made per game (2.8) and offensive efficiency (Blazers score 110.3 points per 100 possessions with Lillard on the floor). Lillard has made nearly twice as many above the break 3s (132) as the nearest sophomore (Mirza Teletovic with 67).
Earlier this week, Beal posted a career-high 37 points (15-24 FG, 5-7 3FG, 2-2 FT) in Washington's 92-89 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. For the season, Beal is averaging 17.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists for the Wizards.
While Beal is among the league leaders in 3-point shooting (sixth at 43.0%), he has struggled to hit 2-point shots, shooting just 40.1% (198-487) from inside the arc. His 41.4 FG% is the lowest among the top 12 in 3-point shooting.
Ranks 17th in catch-and-shoot points per game (6.3) and seventh in catch-and-shoot 3-point percentage (45.8%) among players with at least one 3-pointer per game.
Beal ranks third among sophomores in points per game (17.1), assists per game (3.4) and minutes per game (33.1). He has hit more mid-range FGs than any other sophomore in the league.
One thing about All-Star exhibition games, you know there will be plenty of shots going up. Since not every shot is going through the net, you need someone to clean the glass. Enter Andre Drummond, the Detroit Pistons sophomore who has turned into a rebounding machine.
Drummond ranks third in rebounds per game (13.0) while only averaging 32.9 minutes per game. The two guys ahead of him -- DeAndre Jordan (14.0 rebounds in 35.9 minutes) and Kevin Love (13.2 rebounds in 36.4 minutes) -- can't match Drummond's rebounding efficiency.
When we even out the minutes and look at leaders on a per 48 minute basis, Drummond leads the pack at 19.2 rebounds per game. Drummond leads the league with a rebounding percentage of 22.3%, meaning he grabs 22.3% of all rebounds available while he is on the floor.
In addition to his rebounding prowess, Drummond is averaging 13.1 points per game and has 39 double-doubles at the All-Star break, second only to Love with 44.
Part of the key to Drummond's success has been his ability to grab offensive rebounds and convert them into points. He ranks first in both offensive rebounds (5.4 per game) and second chance points (5.3 per game).
Drummond ranks first in contested rebounds per game, grabbing 5.8 rebounds when there is an opposing player within 3.5 feet of the rebound. 44.8% of Drummond's rebounds are contested, compared to just 39.2% for Jordan and 38.2% for Kevin Love -- the two players ahead of him among rebounding leaders.
Drummond leads all sophomores in FG% (61.1%), rebounds per game (13.0) and double-doubles (39) and is third in both steals per game (1.3) and blocks per game (1.9)
Harrison Barnes (Golden State, Soph.)
After a breakout performance in last year's playoffs, Harrison Barnes was set to compete with Klay Thompson for a starting role with the Warriors this season. However, a nagging foot injury kept him out of the team's first few games and gave the starting nod to Thompson by default.
Reprising the bench role he had a season ago, Barnes has put up nearly identical numbers as a sophomore (10.4 pts, 4.1 reb, 1.3 ast, 0.9 stl, 0.2 blk) as he did during his rookie campaign (9.2 pts, 4.1 reb, 1.2 ast, 0.6 stl, 0.2 blk). The main differences are that his minutes have increased by nearly four per game (25.4 as a rook, 29.2 as a soph) and his shooting percentage is two percentage points lower overall (43.9% as a rook, 41.6% as a soph), while his 3-point shooting percentage jumped by five percentage points (35.9% as a rook, 40.9% as a soph).
Barnes thrived as a small-ball four during Golden State's playoff run last season. If Team Hill goes small, he could find himself in a favorable matchup on Friday.
Shoots 46.0% on catch-and-shoot FGs, 44.1% on catch-and-shoot 3s and just 26.4% on pull-up shots and 23.1% on pull-up 3s.
Ranks eighth among sophomores in 3-point field goal percentage (40.9%) and 12th in scoring (10.4).
There aren't many plays run for Terrence Jones in Houston. The offense is primarily focused on guys named Howard, Harden and Parsons. But Jones finds ways to contribute, averaging 11.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.3 blocks and 1.2 assists in just over 28 minutes per game for the Rockets.
With plenty of playmakers on the floor in the Rising Stars game, a player like Jones is necessary to create some balance on the floor. You can't have five primary scorers on the court at the same time. Unless there's more than one ball being used.
Look for Jones to make cuts to the rim, get out in transition and work the offensive glass for putbacks. There's a reason 166 of his 236 buckets have come in the restricted area.
Jones averages 12.5 rebound chances (within 3.5 ft of rebound) per game and grabs 58.8% of those rebounds. He grabs 3.2 contested rebounds per game and 4.2 uncontested. His team-high 43.2% contested rebound rate is 10th in the league among players that average at least 7 rebounds.
Ninth among sophomores in scoring (11.7), seventh in rebounding (7.3), fifth in field goal percentage (52.4%), fourth in PIE (11.9), third in Offensive Efficiency (109.1), eighth in NetRtg (4.6) and fourth in field goals made in the Restricted Area (166-of-242, 68.6%)
Giannis not only has the best nickname, he is also the only rookie on Team Hill. The 19-year-old guard/forward known as the Greek Freak is averaging 6.9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists in his debut NBA season, but has struggled a bit as of late -- averaging just 3.3 points and shooting 3-of-20 over his last four games.
But when you see him make plays like this, you know really good things are on the horizon.
The play above starts with a great chase-down block and brings us to our SportVU stat for Antetokounmpo, who has been among the best rim protectors in the league at 6-foot-9, 205 pounds.
Giannis ranks 13th in the league in defending the rim as opponents shoot just 43.4% at the rim against him (minimum 3 FGA at the rim per game).
Among rookies, Antetokounmpo ranks eighth in scoring (6.9), third in rebounding (4.5), sixth in steals (0.7) and fifth in blocks (0.7).
Valanciunas is the only player in Friday's game drafted prior to 2012. A first-round pick in 2011, Valanciunas remained in Europe before coming to the NBA last season. On the season, he is averaging 10.6 points and 8.8 rebounds while shooting 50.1% from the field.
But as we do with everyone on the Raptors, we need to examine Valanciunas' season through the pre/post-Rudy Gay trade lens. Since Gay was traded on Dec. 9, Valanciunas has averaged 11.5 points and 9.5 rebounds while shooting 51.8% from the field and recording 13 double-doubles in 33 games. His numbers in 19 games prior to the trade: 9.1 points, 7.6 rebounds, 47.1 FG% and five double-doubles.
Valanciunas ranks 21 in the league in rebounds per game despite playing under 28 minutes per game. Only Andrew Bogut (10.7) and JJ Hickson (9.4) average more rebounds in less than 28 minutes. On a per 48 minutes scale, Valanciunas would rank 12th in the league.
Grabs 3.7 contested rebounds per game and 5.2 uncontested rebounds per game. His 41.9% contested rebound percentage ranks 13th in the league.
Ranks third among sophomores in rebound percentage (22.3%) and double-doubles (18).
When comparing Waiters' rookie and sophomore seasons, not much jumps off the page. The points (14.7 as a rookie, 14.3 as a sophomore), rebounds, assists, minutes and field goal percentage (41.2% last season, 41.7% this season) are nearly identical. And while Waiters is shooting better from beyond the arc (36.1% this season compared to 31.0% as a rookie), his free throw percentage has taken a dive (67.1% this year compared to 74.6% last year).
Waiters averages 4.3 points on pull-ups per game (shoots at 36.8%), 3.5 points on catch-and-shoots per game (shoots at 44.3%) and 3.6 points on drives per game (shoots at 36.0%).
Waiters' 14.3 points per game ranks fourth among sophomores, while his 2.7 assists ranks eighth. His 8.3 PIE rating ranks 27th among his class, which does not coincide well with his 26.1% usage rate, which is second among sophomores. He is using more than a quarter of Cleveland's possessions when on the floor, but the Cavs are scoring just 99.5 points per 100 possessions with Waiters on the court.
Miles Plumlee is the last player to join the Rising Stars challenge as a replacement for the injured Pero Antic. Replacing a rookie with another sophomore left Giannis Antetokounmpo as the only rookie on Team Hill. Miles will face his younger brother Mason, a rookie from Brooklyn (more on him later).
Miles Plumlee has been part of one of the biggest surprises from the first half of the season -- the success of the young Phoenix Suns. Plumlee is averaging 9.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.4 blocks for Phoenix. He is shooting 50.9% from the field, but unfortunately has not been much better from the free throw line, where he is shooting 52.8%.
After being buried on the bench in Indiana as a rookie (0.9 points, 1.6 rebounds), Plumlee was included in the offseason trade with Phoenix, which helped Indiana land Luis Scola, helped Phoenix grab Gerald Green and Plumlee, and helped Plumlee get some playing time to show off his skills.
Plumlee scores the majority of his points close to the basket, leading the Suns with 4.0 points per game on close shots (within 12 feet of basket). His points per game from drives (0.2), catch and shoots (0.3) and pull-ups (0.1) are negligible. Only 19 of his 208 baskets have come outside the paint.
Sixth in rebound percentage (17.2%), ninth in OffRtg (106.4), eighth in FG% (50.9%) and 12th in PIE (10.0).
The Brow will represent NOLA in both the BBVA Compass Rising Stars Challenge and Sunday's All-Star Game after being named as the replacement player for the injured Kobe Bryant.
Davis was well on his way to an All-Star nod in his second season before being sidelined for a few weeks with the broken bone in his left hand that forced him to miss seven games.
Davis leads the league in blocked shots (3.07 per game) and is one of only five players to average 20 points and 10 rebounds per game heading into the All-Star. He ranks 15th in the league in scoring (20.5 points per game) and 13th in rebounding (10.1 per game).
Ranks 12th in the league in opponents FG% at the rim (min. 5 FGA at rim per game) with opponents shooting 45.9% at the rim against Davis. Ranks seventh in points per touch (0.38) among players with at least 1,500 total touches this season.
Leads all sophomores in blocks (3.1 per game), steals (1.6) and PIE rating (15.5%). Ranks second among sophomores in scoring (20.5, behind Lillard), rebounding (10.1, behind Drummond) and double-doubles (23, behind Drummond).
The two-time Rookie of the Month for the Eastern Conference is averaging 17.1 points, 5.4 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 2.1 steals through the first half of his rookie campaign. He ranks 10th in the league in assists and second in the league in steals.
While the per game averages have exceeded expectations, Carter-Williams needs to improve his efficiency as he is shooting just 39.6% from the field and 29.1% from 3-point range. In an exhibition game like the Rising Stars Challenge, percentages will be bypassed as fans concentrate on great passes and highlight reel dunks. But once the games start to count again, those percentages will be back on the radar.
Ranks first in average speed, moving at 4.6 miles per hour among players that play at least 20 minutes. Ranks third in distance traveled per game at 2.6 miles. Tied with Kevin Durant for third in points scored on drives (6.0). Ranks 18th in points created by assists (15.3 per game) and 12th in secondary assists (1.6 per game).
Leads the rookie class in nearly every major statistical category -- scoring (17.1), assists (6.5), rebounds (5.4) and steals (2.1) -- and is fourth in blocks (0.7). His 10 double-doubles are more than double the next rookie behind him.
While things have not gone as planned in New York thus far this season (20-32, 10th in the East), the play of Hardaway, Jr. has been a bright spot. The 24th pick in this year's draft, Hardaway is the lowest drafted rookie to participate in the Rising Stars Challenge.
The shooting guard from Michigan is averaging 9.2 points, 1.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists in just under 21 minutes per game for the Knicks. He is shooting 45.1% from the field and 38.5% from behind the arc, knocking down an average of 1.5 threes per game.
Hardaway will have a chance to team up once again with his backcourt partner for the Wolverines as Trey Burke is also a member of Team Webber, who also hails from the University of Michigan, of course.
Hardaway averages 4.5 points on catch-and-shoot shots (hitting 41.9% on those shots), 1.2 points on pull-up shots (36.7 FG%), 0.7 points on drives (34.2 FG%) and 0.2 on close shots (66.7 FG%)
Hardaway ranks second in 3-point shooting (min 2 3FGA per game) behind Portland's CJ McCollum, fourth in scoring (9.2) and fourth in field goal percentage (min 15 min per game) at 45.1%.
The Utah Jazz are 19-33 (0.365 win percentage) at the All-Star break, the third worst record in the Western Conference. However, the Jazz have gone 18-22 (0.450 win percentage) since Trey Burke made his season debut on Nov. 20 after missing the season's opening three weeks recovering from a broken finger suffered during a preseason game.
Burke is averaging 12.5 points, 5.5 assists and 3.1 rebounds in just under 31 minutes per game for the Jazz and has been named Western Conference Rookie of the Month for December and January, the two months that he's been healthy.
Like Carter-Williams, who also holds two Rookie of the Month honors, Burke's shot has not been as reliable as he or the Jazz would like. He is shooting 36.8% from the field and 33.7% from three. He has excelled at the free throw line (90.8%), but only attempts 1.6 free throws per game.
Burke averages 4.5 points on pull-up shots (shooting 36.3%), 4.3 points on catch-and-shoot shots (34.9 FG%), 1.8 points on drives (33.3 FG%) and 0.2 points on close shots (75.0 FG%).
Ranks 31st in points created by assists (12.8 points on 5.5 assists), 24th in touches per game (78.5), and 24th in time of possessions (5.9 minutes per game).
Ranks third among rookies in scoring (12.5 points per game), second in assists (5.5 per game), tied for second in double-doubles (4), 13th in rebounding (3.1 per game) and 6th in 3-point percentage (min 10 games played, 1 3-point attempt per game).
He is tied for seventh in offensive efficiency (min 10 games played, min 10 minutes per game) with the Jazz scoring 103.2 points per 100 possessions with Burke on the court. Ranks second in assist percentage (29.4%) and third in assist/turnover ratio (2.84).
Sulliger is the current Eastern Conference Player of the Week after leading the Celtics to a 2-1 week while averaging 20.3 points and 12.7 rebounds per game. The sophomore from Ohio State is averaging 13.2 points and 8.2 rebounds (31st in the league) on the season with 18 double-doubles in 52 games.
February has been Sullinger's most productive month, averaging a double-double (16.5 points, 11.2 rebounds) while shooting 49.4% from the field, dishing 1.7 assists and blocking 1.7 shots. Can he keep his hot streak going on Friday night?
Ranks 16th in opponent field goal percentage at the rim (min 7 FGA at rim per game) with opponents shooting 49.9% at the rim against him.
Averages 3.0 points on catch-and-shoot shots (34.1 FG%), 2.8 points on close shots (50.8 FG%), 1.1 points on pull-up shots (36.8 FG%) and 0.7 points on drives (28.6 FG%).
Ranks fifth among sophomores in scoring (13.2 points per game) and rebounding (8.2 per game) and tied for third in double-doubles (18).
Rookie Mason Plumlee averages 6.2 points, 3.3 rebounds, 0.4 assists, 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocks in 15.6 minutes per game for the Brooklyn Nets.
He had his best game as a pro last week when he posted 22 points, 13 rebounds, three steals and two blocks against the Pelicans. He shot 8-of-10 from the field, with his two misses coming on his two attempts outside the restricted area -- a desperation heave from beyond half court as the halftime buzzer sounded and a jumper in the paint that was blocked.
Plumlee knows his strength and doesn't waver from it. On the season, 117 of his 144 shots have come in the restricted area and another 19 have come inside the rest of the paint. He's only attempted seven shots (including the 3-pointer described above) from outside the paint all season.
Among all players that have attempted at least 100 shots in the restricted area, Plumlee ranks seventh in field goal percentage at 72.6%.
Leads the Nets in average speed at 4.3 miles per hour as well as distance traveled per 48 minutes at 3.4 miles.
Plumlee leads all rookies in field goal percentage (63.2%) and is tied for second in blocks (0.8 per game). He ranks 12th among rookies in scoring (6.2 points per game), 11th in rebounding (3.3 per game) and first in PIE rating (min 5 minutes per game) at 10.4%.
Oladipo, the second overall pick in the 2013 Draft, is the current leader of the NBA.com Rookie Ladder, which tracks rookie performances on a weekly basis all season long.
The keys to Oladipo's success have been his versatility, his strong defense and his ability to do a little bit of everything on the floor. Oladipo is a stat sheet stuffer. He is averaging 13.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.6 steals, 0.6 blocks and has recorded four double-doubles and one triple-double through the first 54 games of his career.
Scores 4.7 points per game on drives (42.6 FG%), 2.7 points on pull-up shots (34.1 FG%), 2.3 points on catch-and-shoot shots (also 34.1 FG%) and 0.6 points on close shots (52.2 FG%). His 4.7 points per game on drives ranks 21st in the league. He is also 25th in the league in total distance traveled (121.4 miles).
Second among rookies in scoring (13.9 points per game), steals (1.6 per game) and double-doubles (tied with 4), fourth in rebounding (4.4 per game), third in assists (4.0 per game), seventh in blocks (0.6 per game). He also ranks second in usage rate (23.9%) and fifth in PIE rating (9.4%).
As a backup center for the Oklahoma City Thunder, Adams averages 3.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 0.6 assists, 0.5 steals and 0.8 blocks in 14.4 minutes per game.
Not only has Adams not scored in the Thunder's last five games, he's attempted just one shot in a combined 46 minutes in those games. This is not a player looking to score - he's posted double-digit points in just two games (out of 55) this season.
But if you need someone to set a great screen, play defense and crash the boards, then Adams is your guy. With so many players looking to score in an exhibition game like the Rising Stars, having a player that will do the dirty work could come in very handy for Team Webber.
Of his 4.2 rebounds per game, 2.3 are contested (an opponent within a 3.5 foot vicinity of the rebound) and 1.9 are uncontested. His 55.6 contested rebound percentage leads all players that average at least four rebounds per game.
Ranks fifth among rookies in rebounds (4.2 per game), sixth in field goal percentage (47.7%) and is tied for 2nd in blocks (0.8 per game).
Team Webber features a pair of former college teammates (Burke and Hardaway of Michigan) as well as current teammates (Sullinger and Olynyk of the Boston Celtics).
For the season, Olynyk is averaging 6.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocks while shooting 43.0% from the field, 28.8% from three and 80.6% from the line.
Olynyk shoots nearly 10 percentage points higher at home (48.0% compared to 38.5% on the road), but shoots less often at home (5.5 FGA per game at home, 6.8 on the road).
While he spends most of his time in the paint (144 of his 270 shot attempts have come in the paint), he's also attempted 67 mid-range shots (hitting 38.8%) and 59 threes (hitting just 28.8%).
Olynyk averages 2.0 points per game on catch-and-shoot shots (35.0 FG%), 1.5 points on close shots (60.0 FG%), 0.6 points on drives (50.0 FG%) and 0.2 points on pull-up jumpers (16.0 FG%).
Ranked ninth among rookies in scoring (6.9 points per game), second in rebounding (4.7) and free throw percentage (80.6%) and third in field goal percentage (43.0%).